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MODELS

  Asset Value Distribution
Asset Value Guarantee
Aircraft Loan
Deterministic Lease
Lease Income Insurance
Lease Income
EETC

Methodology

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AircraftRisk.com's highly refined, market-tested models of complex aircraft financial risk are designed to support the analysis of transactions and related portfolio risk for institutions involved in aircraft finance. We currently offer seven web-enabled and -operated models.

To view the models, click on the bold link below or the lefthand menu. To demo the models you will need to login (also found under the Membership Info menu above) if you are an existing user or register. As a member or subscriber you are entitled to reasonable customization of our models.

 

The Asset Value Distribution (AVD) Model generates expected asset values and a distribution of future asset values for one or more specified aircraft. This model can be used to allocate capital and analyze collateral coverage.

The Asset Value Guarantee (AVG) Model assesses the risk and generates a fair market price for one or more asset value guarantees (AVGs). This model can support pricing, mark-to-market analysis and capital allocation using a stochastic methodology.

The Aircraft Loan (AL) Model can be used to evaluate the risk associated with individual loans secured by aircraft using a stochastic methodology. This model supports loan tranching and capital allocation.

The Deterministic Lease (DL) Model can be used to generate a deterministic estimate of the future income on a portfolio of aircraft by varying a number of user-specified macro and industry specific variables.

The Lease Income Insurance (LII) Model provides users with the ability to estimate the probability distributions of lease income based on a portfolio of aircraft for capital allocation or risk transfer.

The Lease Income (LI) Model is a lease securitization tool which gives distributions of losses for an existing or customized securitization structure and allows pricing and return analysis for each class of notes.

The EETC Model enables investors to analyze the risk/reward characteristics on any tranche of 56 currently outstanding EETC issues. This model can be used to support trading, pricing and revaluation applications. The analysis can be done in either a stochastic or deterministic version.


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